Core Inflation
7 postsFebruary Core-Cast: What February CPI Tells Us About The Fed's PCE Inflation Gauges
Core-Cast is our nowcasting model to track the Fed's preferred inflation gauges before and through their release date. The heatmaps below give a comprehensive view of how inflation...
The State Space: March 2023
Welcome to our State Space series. Here you will find how we’re thinking about the pathways and scenarios that could take us to critical economic states.
Jan PCE & Core-Cast Recap: Upside Driven By Seasonality, Airfares, and Revisions To Opaque Components
Core-Cast is our nowcasting model to track the Fed's preferred inflation gauges before and through their release date. The heatmaps below give a comprehensive view of how inflation...
Core-Cast: Import Price Data Tempers Upside PCE Nowcast For January. Year-over-Year Readings May Not Rise
Core-Cast is our real-time nowcasting model that tracks the Fed's preferred inflation gauges before and through their release date. Most of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation gauges...