The Investment Picture: Q1 2024
Overall, the Q1 GDP print looks weaker overall than the previous print, with investment growth correspondingly weaker.
Overall, the Q1 GDP print looks weaker overall than the previous print, with investment growth correspondingly weaker.
Whether or not we see another boom in productivity is a question of policy, not a question of fate.
Tight labor markets and strong investment are crucial to securing the three-legged stool of productivity growth, but a stable supply of the essentials may be the most important to focus on today.
The second leg of the productivity growth stool is a boom in fixed investment. This is the heart of productivity growth in many ways, and is critical to achieving disinflationary dynamics over the medium term.
For decades, “jobless recovery” has been a watchword in the aftermath of each recession. But in the 1990s—and today—we saw a fully recovered labor market.