Systematic Monitors

This monitor is a reflection of how we update our assessments of economic growth in real-time as we get meaningful updates from macroeconomic data releases. It provides a more timely and meaningful gauge of economic activity growth than what GDP and similar summary indicators provide. Please see here for more

We are seeing an economy that is still growing, slowing, and stabilizing as businesses come to understand the dynamics of the post-pandemic environment. With that said, we might be close to the end of the downswing part of “normalization”.

This monitor is a reflection of how we update our assessments of economic growth in real-time as we get meaningful updates from macroeconomic data releases; please see here for more details about how to interpret this information. Summary: We see more signs that the real economy is accelerating and that

Core-Cast is our nowcasting model to track the Fed's preferred inflation gauges before and through their release date. The heatmaps below give a comprehensive view of how inflation components and themes are performing relative to what transpires when inflation is running at 2%. Most of the Personal Consumption