Systematic Monitors

The following post was released to our MacroSuite subscribers subscribers on 2/25/2025. If you'd like to start a 90-day free trial of our exclusive content, you can do so using this link. If you have any questions or would like to see samples of our past

Mar 03, 2025

January 2025 Core-Cast Post- PCE: Small Upside Surprises and Three Lagged Quirks That Stand In The Way Of The Fed's Target

by Skanda Amarnath

Core-Cast is our model and publication series for nowcasting the Fed's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation gauges. Most of the PCE inflation gauges are sourced from Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, but Producer Price Index (PPI) input data is of increasing relevance, import price index (IPI) data can

| Mar 03, 2025

US Activity Update: Sideways Movement Belies Divergence Between Solid Hard Data & Cooler Soft Data - March 3, 2025

by Skanda Amarnath

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