Fed Policy
Whenever inflation becomes a part of political or economic discourse, policymakers and commentators instinctively reach for narratives and models drawn from the experience of the 1970s inflation. However, these models offer little explanation for even adjacent experiences of inflation.
Given the Fed’s recent framework revisions and forward guidance commitment to maintain current interest rates until “maximum employment” is achieved, the Fed’s communication with respect to its assessment of “maximum employment” is overdue for a clarification.
The Framework Review and Forward Guidance center labor market outcomes over inflation in evaluating interest rate policy. However, the Fed haven't clarified how they will evaluate inflationary dynamics under the new regime.
Given Mnuchin’s stated intent to act in violation of the CARES Act, Chair Powell should reconsider his decision to transfer the funds back to Treasury, or at least clarify that they are for the sole purpose of being returned to the Exchange Stabilization Fund.
While The Shock may have ended, labor market indicators suggest that we still need to respond appropriately to The Slog if we are to avoid a repeat of the lackluster “jobless recovery” following the 2008 crisis.
The Fed’s recent forward guidance on its zero interest rate policy was a welcome sign that the Fed’s monetary policy strategy is giving appropriate emphasis to the achievement of sustainably tight labor markets. We highlight four welcome takeaways worth celebrating and building upon.
By Skanda Amarnath, Alex Williams, and Arnab Datta Executive Summary This piece provides an overview of how the Federal Reserve (“Fed”) decided to require all emergency lending authorized under Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act be conducted at a “penalty rate,” as well as its policy ramifications. In
The Fed has chosen to double down on an inflation-oriented framework for setting monetary policy. While there are some advantages in the current environment to an “average inflation targeting” scheme that affirmatively permits inflation to rise at least modestly past 2%, this approach is not particularly robust to a scenario
Here, we discuss six potential improvements to the Evans Rule that the Federal Reserve (Fed) should consider as it formulates its forward guidance strategy in response to the COVID-19 economic crisis.