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Inflation Expectations

Depending on who you ask, this week saw a “hawkish skip” or a “dovish pause” from the FOMC, who declined to raise rates above their current target range of 5% to 5.25%.

We systematically track the evolution of financial conditions and their underlying drivers. We intend to share regular updates of these systematic monitors with our donors on a more exclusive basis (so long as it does not compromise our public mission). This monitor is a reflection of how we think macroeconomic

Growing, Slowing, Stabilizing. The economy is continuing to grow, but more slowly, and with fewer higher-order cycles and bullwhips swinging things around. Hiring remains strong, but has fallen from its recovery peak.

We systematically track the evolution of financial conditions and their underlying drivers. We intend to share regular updates of these systematic monitors with our donors on a more exclusive basis (so long as it does not compromise our public mission). This monitor is a reflection of how we think macroeconomic

This weeks’ Fedspeak comes against the backdrop of a surprisingly neutral Jobs Day report. This week saw communication from Goolsbee, Barkin, Jefferson, Collins, Bowman, Harker, Master and Bullard.

This weeks’ Fedspeak comes against the backdrop of a surprisingly neutral Jobs Day report. This week saw communication from Goolsbee, Barkin, Jefferson, Collins, Bowman, Harker, Master and Bullard.

We systematically track the evolution of financial conditions and their underlying drivers. We intend to share regular updates of these systematic monitors with our donors on a more exclusive basis (so long as it does not compromise our public mission). This monitor is a reflection of how we think macroeconomic

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