PCE

Summary: The risks for May (CPI) are still tangibly to the upside, but developments from April CPI do shade favorably relative to what was the baseline headed into the April CPI preview.

Three Big Themes We are starting to see some evidence of the long hoped-for supply response to pandemic price increases in this month’s monitor. One long-running shortage ended, leaving only three 2+ year long shortages remaining from the pandemic disruption. After a correction earlier in the year, industrial production

We are starting to see some evidence of the long hoped-for supply response to pandemic price increases in this month’s monitor. One long-running shortage ended, leaving only three 2+ year long shortages remaining from the pandemic disruption.

This preview was originally released this past weekend to Premium Donors. If you would like to get the first look at this kind of content, please feel free to reach out to us here Summary: The risks for April (CPI) are tangibly to the upside, primarily because the upside risks

The Fed is worried about PCE Core Services ex-Housing (CSXHP) because it sees this category as the least likely to see disinflationary progress owing to wage pressures. However—as we have pointed out—CSXHP is composed of...

The Fed is worried about PCE Core Services ex-Housing (CSXHP) because it sees this category as the least likely to see disinflationary progress owing to wage pressures. However—as we have pointed out—CSXHP is composed of a number of components...