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Federal Reserve

In a recent Barron’s article, I examined why last year’s predictions that fighting inflation would require an increase in the unemployment rate went so wrong. The flaws in these predictions can be traced back to three ideas: first, that vacancies are a good measure of labor market tightness; second

A revamped Fedspeak table and a new direction for Fedspeak.

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With the Fourth of July falling midweek this week, we did not see very much new Fedspeak. Williams, Logan and Goolsbee all made hawkish comments, suggesting a need for further rate hikes this year.

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