Fedspeak Monitor 3/9/24
Powell did his best to be as boring as possible during Humphrey Hawkins, but he distinguished himself from some more hawkish statements from other committee members over the past few weeks.
Powell did his best to be as boring as possible during Humphrey Hawkins, but he distinguished himself from some more hawkish statements from other committee members over the past few weeks.
After what appeared to be (on the surface and at first glance) a hot January, the labor market data for February 2024 signaled a return to the narrative we followed throughout last year: the labor market is slowing, but remains strong.
While no one revealed anything new about their expectations for the timing or size of rate cuts this year, the committee was keen on trying to downplay the hot January 2024 data.
Across the board, from presumed hawks to doves, the message from committee members this week is fairly unified: they are spooked by January's inflation data.
In an extended conversation at NABE on Friday, Daly provided a lot of insight into her thinking. There was a lot to like in her answers.