NFP
26 postsFebruary 2025 Jobs Day Forecasts & Preview: Narrow Job Gains vs Reversion Effects From Weather, Seasonals & Natural Disasters
The following post was released to our MacroSuite subscribers subscribers on 2/25/2025. If you'd like to start a 90-day free trial of our exclusive...
February 2025 Jobs Day Forecasts & Preview: Narrow Job Gains vs Reversion Effects From Weather, Seasonals & Natural Disasters
Following up on our publication of "real-time" payroll growth time series that cut through data revision issues (see more here) , we are now publishing regular updates...
Labor Market Recap May 2024: Still Cool
The totality of the evidence points more towards a cooling (but still good!) labor market than heating up, despite the payroll prints.
Labor Market Recap, February 2024: Back to "Slowing, but Strong"
After what appeared to be (on the surface and at first glance) a hot January, the labor market data for February 2024 signaled a return to the narrative we followed throughout last year: the labor market is slowing, but remains strong.
