Labor Market Recap June 2025: Stepping Away from the Edge
On the whole, this is a good jobs report. It’s hard to find much fault with the data here, and it significantly diminishes the prospects of a July cut.
The Supply Problem In The Fed's Framework - Part 5: Revising The Consensus Statement For Supply-Aware Monetary Policy
This is the final post in our multi-part series on the Fed's 2025 framework review and strategy for dealing with supply shocks. Part 1 discusses how...
May 2025 Core-Cast Post-PCE: Is Inflation Crushed? Not So Fast. We Foresaw The Upside That Others Missed or Ignored
Core-Cast is our model and publication series for nowcasting the Fed's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation gauges. We update our estimates from CPI, PPI, Import Price,...
The Past, Present, And Future Of Macroeconomic Policy
Overview We originally launched Employ America to confront the policy failures that plagued the decade following the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 (GFC). The failure of our policymakers...
June 2025 FOMC Preview
Note: Subscribers to MacroSuite will receive our FOMC preview a week early, at the beginning of the blackout period before each FOMC meeting. What To Expect: The Fed...
