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GDP

| Aug 03, 2026

US Activity Update: Composite Index Edges Up Again - 8/3/2026

by Vikas Patel

Composite Activity rose ~0.07σ to +1.18σ since July 28.

| Jul 28, 2026

US Activity Update: Composite Index Edges Up a Bit, Mostly Driven by Regional Fed Surveys - 7/28/2026

by Vikas Patel

Composite Activity rose ~0.05σ to +1.11σ since July 16

| Jul 16, 2026

US Activity Update: Retail Sales Solid; Ceasefire Breaks and Hormuz Closes Again - 7/16/2026

by Vikas Patel

Composite Activity rose ~0.1σ to +1.07σ since July 6 — retail sales and regional Fed surveys drove it.

| Aug 28, 2025

July 2025 Core-Cast Post-GDP: Downside Q2 Revisions Shave Off 3-4bps From Y/Y Core PCE

by Skanda Amarnath

| Jul 30, 2025

June 2025 Core-Cast Post-GDP: Sharp Upside Revisions to Q2 Core PCE Present Upside Risks For Tomorrow

by Skanda Amarnath

| May 29, 2025

April 2025 Core-Cast Post-GDP - Final Note

by Skanda Amarnath

| Feb 27, 2025

January 2025 Core-Cast Post-GDP: Upside Revisions To Our Nowcasts

by Skanda Amarnath

| Jan 30, 2025

December 2024 Core-Cast Post-GDP: The Dark Spaces Shade Our Nowcast Down Mildly

by Skanda Amarnath

| Dec 19, 2024

November 2024 Core-Cast Post-GDP: Minimal Shifts

by Skanda Amarnath

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