Recap
Apr 14, 2026
Summary We thought we were penciling in sufficiently strong readings for the PPI inputs in March but apparently not enough. We've marked up our y/y and m/m readings for Core PCE in March by 4bps (26bps->30bps m/m, 3.13%->3.17% y/
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Apr 10, 2026
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Apr 09, 2026
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Apr 07, 2026
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Apr 07, 2026
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Mar 31, 2026
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Mar 18, 2026
Mar 17, 2026
Summary We pride ourselves on being among the closest in our forecasts / nowcasts of Core PCE, especially after receiving all of the relevant information from CPI, PPI, and import prices. January proved to be an uncharacteristic miss for us (8-9bps too high on Core PCE). We would be suspicious