March 2025 FOMC Preview
Note: Subscribers to MacroSuite receive our FOMC preview at the beginning of the blackout period before each FOMC meeting. A public version of the preview will be released closer to the meeting. If you're interested in becoming a MacroSuite subscriber,...
February 2025 Jobs Day Forecasts & Preview: Narrow Job Gains vs Reversion Effects From Weather, Seasonals & Natural Disasters
The following post was released to our MacroSuite subscribers subscribers on 2/25/2025. If you'd like to start a 90-day free trial of our exclusive...
January 2025 Core-Cast Post- PCE: Small Upside Surprises and Three Lagged Quirks That Stand In The Way Of The Fed's Target
Core-Cast is our model and publication series for nowcasting the Fed's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation gauges. Most of the PCE inflation gauges are sourced from...
Labor Market Recap January 2025: A Solid Report, but Risks Ahead
The labor market might be solid right now, but the composition of job growth in the future looks increasingly worrying.